Visa Study Forecasts Booming E-Commerce Sector Amidst Rising Digital Payments

Visa Study Forecasts Booming E-Commerce Sector Amidst Rising Digital Payments

The UAE e-commerce sector is expected to continue on an upward trajectory due to the digital payments boom during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a joint study by Dubai Economy and Visa.

The “United Arab Emirates (UAE) eCommerce Landscape 2020” report reflects market activity over the last 12 months and, in particular, the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, highlighting key trends and insights drawn from Visa’s transaction data on how and where consumers have been spending. The report also highlights new challenges and opportunities that the crisis has created.

The shift to shopping online is expected to hold long-term as consumer confidence in digital payments surge across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.UAE E-Commerce Sales

The Impact of COVID-19: Acceleration of E-Commerce and Digital Payments

The June 2020 findings of another study, Visa’s Stay Secure consumer survey in partnership with Dubai Economy and Dubai Police showed that 49% of UAE consumers surveyed have been shopping online more because of the pandemic, with three out of five (61%) now using cards or digital wallets more to make payments online instead of opting for cash on delivery. Increased trust in the safety, speed, and convenience of contactless payments, were the top reasons cited for their increased preference for online payments.

COVID-19 Impact on Consumer Shopping and Payment Behaviour

Source: Visa

Additionally, a developed logistics infrastructure, financial account penetration and support for digital payments, increased retailers’ adoption of e-commerce platforms and government policies which support innovation and entrepreneurial activities are all drivers for e-commerce growth in the UAE. Initiatives such as the Mohammed Bin Rashid Innovation Fund Accelerator have also been launched by the UAE Ministry of Economy to further boost the sector.

This shift to paying online also means e-commerce will account for a bigger share of total UAE card payment transaction values in 2020, compared to pre-pandemic predictions; up from 19.7% to 21.9% . This figure is expected to continue upward, with e-commerce payments estimated to account for 28.2% of the total UAE card payment transactions value.

Findings from the Dubai Economy-Visa study also show that while UAE consumers still prefer to pay using credit cards (35% of transactions), the use of debit cards to shop online has increased by more than 7% between 2018 and 2020, pointing to a higher degree of trust in the transaction process that is reflective of a maturing market.

Increased card on file tokenisation and Click to Pay capabilities have also led to repeat purchases as well as higher frequency and ease of online shopping, fueling further growth in use of credit and debit cards as a method of payment.

His Excellency Sami Al Qamzi, Director General of Dubai Economy, commented:

His Excellency Sami Al Qamzi, Director General of Dubai Economy

Sami Al Qamzi

“Dubai Economy has prioritised digital payments as a key enabler of the ease of business and smart transformation that will set Dubai apart as a competitive global business hub. We focus on offering innovative digital adoption solutions to the diverse community of businesses, entrepreneurs and consumers with whom we engage constantly, and the prevailing pandemic crisis has provided us with valuable insights on their changing preferences and requirements.


Cashless payments and e-commerce are definitely on a faster trajectory than anticipated, and we look to translate this unprecedented growth into an opportunity for businesses of any size to establish and enhance their presence online. The key takeaways from the ‘UAE eCommerce Landscape’ study will lend strategic support to our future initiatives in enhancing customer happiness through innovative cashless and contactless transaction solutions.”

UAE e-commerce landscape vs other markets

UAE consumers lead developing and mature benchmarks in average spend per transaction

Based on the latest transaction data from Visa, the report also compares UAE to mature and emerging benchmark markets including the US, UK, Australia and Singapore, as well as Brazil, South Africa and Malaysia.

According to the report, in the wider Middle East, North Africa, and South Asia (MENASA) region, the UAE represents the biggest annual spend per online shopper at $1,648. Additionally, the UAE continues to maintain a healthy lead in average transaction size compared to both mature and emerging e-commerce markets. The average transaction value in the UAE was $122 in 2019-20, compared to $76 in mature markets, and $22 in emerging markets.

Correspondingly with more merchants going online and a wider selection of products available in the e-commerce space, consumer demand and online sales volumes have also multiplied.

Marcello Baricordi, Visa’s General Manager for Middle East and North Africa said,

Marcello Baricordi, Visa General Manager for Middle East and North Africa

Marcello Baricordi

“We’ve seen a number of adoption barriers reduce as the demand for e-commerce and contactless commerce skyrocketed during the lockdown. We call these habit forming behaviours as more consumers and merchants have now experienced the security, convenience and range of online commerce and we anticipate this trend to continue post-pandemic.


Because of this, businesses that work to adapt to this new world of e-commerce and digital payments have the best chance at both recovery and thriving. All merchants regardless of size must now think beyond just adapting and focus on their medium and long term strategy. Our report, in collaboration with Dubai Economy, is designed to share our insights and help businesses spark new and innovative plans.”

Bringing in-store experiences online will be important to retain recent online shopping converts. The ability to experience a product is a key reason for in-store shopping but there are now many tools that can help replicate the process online. The use of augmented reality technologies offers a rich buying experience enabling online shoppers to visualise the products they are interested in from the comfort and safety of their homes.

Delivering a seamless payment experience is a non-negotiable factor in the success of e-commerce. According to the report, more than half (58%) of UAE consumers surveyed by Visa in 2020 were found to have abandoned their online shopping cart because of authentication delays or failure. Solutions like Visa’s Click to Pay button help to reduce that friction. Additionally, making online payment the norm and eradicating cash on delivery will reduce the cost, complexity, and risk for online merchants.

Visa e-commerce cart abandon

Building and maintaining trust in online purchasing remains an ongoing activity for e-commerce businesses, and for customers new to online shopping, retaining them online even as stores reopen requires confidence and reassurance. In the UAE, Visa has been working together with the Dubai Economy and the Dubai Police to educate consumers on the safety of digital payment via card and mobile.

While almost every business has been impacted by the pandemic in some way, small businesses have struggled the most. Helping small merchants move online so they can survive challenging market conditions must be a priority for the communities they operate in. By offering innovative payment solutions, Visa’s priority in this environment remains to help businesses thrive both online and offline.


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